Scientific Colloquium
March 18, 2020, 3:30 p.m.
Building 3, Goett Auditorium
ROBERT ROGERS
NOAA/HURRICANE RESEARCH
DIVISION
"NOAA's Intensity
Forecasting Experiment: Past, Present, and Future"
The primary goal of NOAA/AOML's Hurricane Research Division
(HRD) is to improve the understanding and prediction of tropical
cyclones (TCs). While this improvement can be accomplished from
a variety of approaches, a unique capability of HRD is the
routine collection and analysis of airborne observations within
the inner-core and surrounding atmospheric and oceanic
environments. This data collection and analysis has formed the
core of HRD's mission for many decades. Over the past fifteen
years this task has been accomplished under the Intensity
Forecasting Experiment (IFEX). This talk will provide a summary
of IFEX's accomplishments, including a discussion of advances in
NOAA's airborne observing technologies and how these
observations have been used to better characterize, understand,
and predict physical processes important for TC intensity
change. Finally, a look toward the future will be provided,
including a discussion of new foci meant to broaden IFEX's goals
to include a more comprehensive improvement of forecasting TC
hazards.
About the Speaker:
Robert Rogers is Lead Meteorologist at NOAA's Hurricane Research
Division in Miami, FL. His main areas of research involve
studying the role of convective- and vortex-scale processes in
tropical cyclone (TC) structure and intensity change, using a
combination of aircraft observations and numerical models. He
received his Bachelor's degree in Environmental Science from
University of Virginia, and his M.S. and Ph.D in Meteorology
from The Pennsylvania State University. He has received funding
from NOAA, NASA, ONR, and NSF for his research. He has been
interviewed for Science and The New York Times, and he has
appeared on the Today Show to discuss his research. This year he
received the Banner I. Miller Award, which is an AMS award for
outstanding contribution to the science of hurricane and
tropical weather forecasting in a publication with international
circulation.
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